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A single line with the milestones the book keeps coming back to — from the Sputnik moment to today.

Acceleration, measured

Verified milestones per year, from Sputnik to today. The curve redraws itself with every milestone that enters the timeline.

1947: 1 milestone1948: 0 milestones1949: 0 milestones1950: 0 milestones19501951: 0 milestones1952: 0 milestones1953: 0 milestones1954: 0 milestones1955: 0 milestones1956: 0 milestones1957: 0 milestones1958: 0 milestones1959: 0 milestones1960: 0 milestones19601961: 0 milestones1962: 0 milestones1963: 0 milestones1964: 0 milestones1965: 1 milestone1966: 0 milestones1967: 0 milestones1968: 0 milestones1969: 1 milestone1970: 0 milestones19701971: 0 milestones1972: 0 milestones1973: 0 milestones1974: 0 milestones1975: 0 milestones1976: 0 milestones1977: 0 milestones1978: 0 milestones1979: 0 milestones1980: 0 milestones19801981: 0 milestones1982: 0 milestones1983: 0 milestones1984: 0 milestones1985: 0 milestones1986: 0 milestones1987: 0 milestones1988: 0 milestones1989: 1 milestone1990: 0 milestones19901991: 0 milestones1992: 0 milestones1993: 0 milestones1994: 0 milestones1995: 0 milestones1996: 0 milestones1997: 1 milestone1998: 1 milestone1999: 0 milestones2000: 1 milestone20002001: 0 milestones2002: 0 milestones2003: 0 milestones2004: 0 milestones2005: 0 milestones2006: 0 milestones2007: 1 milestone2008: 1 milestone2009: 0 milestones2010: 0 milestones20102011: 0 milestones2012: 1 milestone2013: 0 milestones2014: 0 milestones2015: 0 milestones2016: 1 milestone2017: 1 milestone2018: 0 milestones2019: 1 milestone2020: 2 milestones20202021: 1 milestone2022: 2 milestones2023: 4 milestones2024: 1 milestone2025: 9 milestones92026: 3 milestones

Milestones curated by the editors — editorial bias is part of the method: we count what passed the verification filter.

  1. 1947

    scientific breakthrough

    The transistor is invented

    Bell Labs demonstrates the first transistor. The invisible brick on which every digital thing to come would be built.

  2. 1965

    scientific breakthrough

    Gordon Moore states his law

    A note in a trade magazine becomes prophecy: power doubles again and again. The exponential curve now has a name.

  3. 1969

    technology launch

    First message over ARPANET

    Two computers talk for the first time. The link crashes after two letters —but nothing would ever be truly disconnected again.

  4. 1989

    technology launch

    Tim Berners-Lee proposes the Web

    A memo at CERN dismissed as “vague but exciting.” It takes years to take off; when it does, it links half of humanity.

  5. 1997

    scientific breakthrough

    Deep Blue defeats Kasparov

    For the first time a machine beats the reigning world chess champion. Intelligence stops being exclusively human territory.

  6. 1998

    business model shift

    Google is founded

    Organizing all the world’s information stops being a utopia and becomes a business. Access to knowledge accelerates.

  7. 2000

    technology launch

    Mass-market internet

    Information connects and existing business models begin to creak. It takes years to seep into everyday life.

  8. 2007

    technology launch

    iPhone launch

    The internet stops being a destination and starts living with you. A decade to redesign the social and economic fabric.

  9. 2008

    business model shift

    Apple opens the App Store

    500 apps at launch, 10 million downloads in 72 hours. Software stops shipping in boxes and starts to flow.

  10. 2012

    scientific breakthrough

    AlexNet wins ImageNet

    A deep neural network crushes the computer-vision benchmark. Almost without warning, the deep-learning decade begins.

  11. 2016

    scientific breakthrough

    AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol

    The last game thought safe from machines falls. Intuition —not just calculation— now has an artificial rival.

  12. 2017

    scientific breakthrough

    “Attention Is All You Need”

    A paper introduces the Transformer. Almost no one notices; it is the silent engine of every generative AI still to come.

  13. 2019

    technology launch

    OpenAI unveils GPT-2

    So convincing at writing that its maker withholds release “over misuse risk.” The machine now drafts the way we do.

  14. 2020

    technology launch

    GPT-3 opens its API

    175 billion parameters within reach of any developer. Building with AI stops being only for the giants.

  15. 2020

    scientific breakthrough

    AlphaFold2 cracks protein folding

    A 50-year problem falls over a competition weekend. AI starts to accelerate science itself, not just software.

  16. 2021

    technology launch

    OpenAI unveils DALL·E

    Describe an image in words and it appears. Visual creativity crosses the threshold of what only people used to do.

  17. 2022

    market shift

    Stable Diffusion goes open

    The model weights, free for anyone. Within days it runs on home laptops: generative imagery becomes everyone’s.

  18. 2022

    technology launch

    ChatGPT launches

    A free “research preview.” One million users in five days: conversational AI bursts into everyone’s life at once.

  19. 2023

    data milestone

    ChatGPT reaches 100M users

    The fastest-growing consumer application on record — 2 months, not 7 years.

  20. 2023

    technology launch

    OpenAI releases GPT-4

    Multimodal, and passes the bar exam in the top 10%. The leap between models is no longer measured in years, but in months.

  21. 2023

    market shift

    Nvidia joins the trillion-dollar club

    The maker of AI’s chips touches a trillion in market cap. The market suddenly puts a price on the exponential fever.

  22. 2023

    market shift

    Meta releases Llama 2

    A powerful model with open weights and commercial use. The frontier stops being closed: anyone can build on it.

  23. 2024

    regulation

    EU · AI Act takes effect

    The first comprehensive regulatory framework for AI. It classifies uses by risk and requires documentation and human oversight.

  24. 2025

    business model shift

    Stargate is announced: $500B for AI

    OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle commit half a trillion dollars to US AI infrastructure. The scale of the bet stops being a metaphor.

  25. 2025

    technology launch

    OpenAI launches Operator

    AI stops advising and starts acting: it drives the browser for you. From copilot to agent that executes, without a pause.

  26. 2025

    market shift

    DeepSeek Monday

    An open, cheap model shakes the valuation of closed players — the cost/quality frontier shifts in hours.

  27. 2025

    market shift

    DeepSeek-R1 and the January shock

    An open reasoning model, trained for a fraction of the usual cost, wipes nearly $600B off Nvidia in a day. Efficiency becomes strategic.

  28. 2025

    technology launch

    Claude Opus 4: agents that carry the work

    Anthropic ships models that run long, autonomous tasks, not just answer. Work stops being measured in replies and starts being measured in jobs done.

  29. 2025

    market shift

    The EU AI Act phases in

    After banning certain uses in February, August brings the first obligations for general-purpose models. Governance tries to catch up with the curve.

  30. 2025

    technology launch

    OpenAI launches GPT-5

    The fifth generation arrives with falling costs and rising scrutiny: frontier capability starts to look like a utility.

  31. 2025

    technology launch

    Google launches Gemini 3

    Google answers with its most capable multimodal model, woven into search and productivity. Frontier competition tightens to months, not years.

  32. 2025

    technology launch

    Claude Opus 4.5 quickens the cadence

    Six months after Opus 4, a new iteration pushes the coding-agent frontier. The cadence of improvement visibly shortens.

  33. 2026

    technology launch

    Humanoid robots reach the market

    Between CES 2026 and the first commercial deployments (Optimus, Atlas), physical AI leaves the lab. What was a demo starts having a price and a date.

  34. 2026

    scientific breakthrough

    AI-authored research passes peer review

    An autonomous system produces a paper accepted at a top conference; the methodology is published in Nature. Creating and knowing begin to be redefined.

  35. 2026

    business model shift

    Frontier models level off

    Several labs tie at the top (GPT-5.4, Gemini 3.1) and frontier intelligence cheapens. The edge stops being the model and becomes how you use it.