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Exponential Times22 Jun – 22 Jul · full edition
This week's analysis

Inaugural edition · the essentials of recent weeks

The essentials of recent weeks in AI and exponential tech

CBy Carlos Galve · author of Living in Exponential Times · 5 signals · 3 min read
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The letter

The most significant shift confirmed this week is not a new model release or a benchmark broken — it is the research validating that AI agents are now executing complete workflows autonomously, not merely answering questions when asked. This is the threshold I describe in Chapter 7, the moment when augmentation gives way to automation of entire processes: the system doesn't assist you through a task, it completes the task while you are doing something else. Our linear intuition tells us this is just a faster assistant; the exponential reality is that automating workflows is a different category of change, the same way the lily pad that covers half the pond today will cover it entirely tomorrow, not in another lifetime but in one more doubling. The ground is shifting in ways that are easy to underestimate precisely because each individual step looks incremental. Meanwhile, the same week brings signals from every layer of the stack — open-source AI consolidating inside large enterprises, elderly users in China forming conscious relationships with AI companions, communities resisting the data centers that make all of this physically possible — and together they trace the same curve: this is not arriving, as I argue in Chapter 4, it has already arrived. The problem, as always, is not technical. It is cognitive.

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This week's signals

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Rest of World

Older Adults in China Embrace AI-Generated Companions, Aware of Their Artificial Nature

For readers: The adoption of generative AI extends beyond the workplace and business sphere — vulnerable populations are finding real value in AI systems even knowing they are synthetic. This confirms that the exponential adoption curve depends not on illusion but on perceived utility, and raises questions about equity and the technological divide in access to these tools.

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Connected to your compass

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